Hello, and welcome to the Morningstar series,
“Market Reaction.” I’m Emma Wall and I’m here at Invesco Perpetual in London to talk to
Chief Investment Officer, Nick Mustoe, about rising inflation.
Hello, Nick. Hello.
So, we’ve heard this week the new inflation figures, 1.8% in the U.K., not as high as
expected but still higher than it was. Should investors be worried?
I think that inflation is one of those risks that’s out there really for the medium term.
I’m not sure whether the short term will actually play out with a much, much higher rate, but
I think we’re going to see gradually rising inflation over the rest of this year. The
fact that we’ve had the currency weaken, we’ve had rising commodity prices, I think that
stores up an inflation increase. nd today – or this week we are focusing
on income. So, how does inflation affect income assets?
Well, inflation is always the bogie man for income assets. So, if you’re looking at fixed
income, by definition, you see a fixed return in terms of your cash flow. So, inflation
eats into that return. And so, it’s very, very important to find assets that will actually
hedge against that inflation rise. And indeed, for equities that have dividends
or pay dividends, it means you are getting less of a real return if inflation rises?
It can do. The real trick is to find companies that are going to grow their dividends over
time. And therefore, in a rising inflationary environment they have the ability to actually
increase their profitability and hence their dividends and thereby giving you a very good
hedge. And that was going to be my next question.
How does investors protect themselves from rising inflation because if it’s going to
continue to tick up, this is something we need to consider when constructing a portfolio?
Yeah, I think, it’s very important. I think we’ve had the last five or six years with
very, very low inflation, in fact, deflation around the world, and I think it’s a new sort
of challenge for investors to find a way to actually protect themselves from it. I think
investing in equities gives you a very good ability to do that.
Nick, thank you very much. This is Emma Wall for Morningstar. Thank you for watching.